What is a winning bid calculation?

It is a calculation of the most likely price at which a specific public auction lot will sell. It is based on completed procedures on GIS Torgi (torgi.gov.ru): for comparable lots, we calculate how many times the sale price exceeded the starting price and round the result to your lot's bid increment.

How is the calculation done, and where does AI come in?

All figures come from the protocols of completed auctions. The sample is selected by property category, auction format, starting price range and region; we then calculate the median and the upper bound of the statistical range, rounded to the bid increment. The GigaChat AI writes the text of the report based on the same calculations and does not invent figures of its own.

Does the report guarantee a win?

No. The report shows the most likely winning bid based on statistics from comparable auctions. The outcome of a particular procedure depends on the number of participants.

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Winning bid calculation for public auctions

Q: How much does the report cost?

The report costs 3.5% of the lot's starting price, minimum RUB 990, maximum RUB 16,990, including 22% VAT, payable before the report is generated. For example, for a lot with a starting price of RUB 20,000 the report costs RUB 990 (3.5% would be RUB 700, which is below the minimum); for RUB 100,000 it costs RUB 3,500, and for RUB 1,000,000 it costs RUB 16,990 (3.5% would be RUB 35,000, which exceeds the maximum).

Q: Do I need to register?

No. You can order a report without an account: just provide your full name and a contact, either an email address or a messenger. Registered users have their orders and finished reports saved in their account.

Q: Why does the report give two bids rather than one?

Participants have different goals: sometimes buying cheaper matters more, sometimes not missing the lot. The value bid is based on the sample median and the bid to win on the upper quartile; for each, we show the share of comparable auctions that this price would have won. In an auction with bid increments, the first figure shows where to start bidding and the second how far to go; in sealed-bid formats and requests for quotations the price is submitted only once, so the second figure matters more.

Paste a link to a lot on torgi.gov.ru and get a report with the most likely winning bid, calculated from completed auctions in Russia’s Central Federal District. We don’t estimate the market value of the property. We look at actual auction outcomes: how much comparable lots really sell for relative to their starting price.

View a sample report (PDF, in Russian) ↗ A real calculation for a completed 229-FZ lot: the sample, the value bid, the bid to win and the actual sale price. Opens in a new tab.

35,649completed auctions in our database
18regions of the Central Federal District
3legal frameworks: 178-FZ, 1041-PP, 229-FZ
3.5%of the starting price for a report on a torgi.gov.ru lot, minimum RUB 990, maximum RUB 16,990 (incl. 22% VAT), paid in advance
Pay on resultstate property listed on our platform: the calculation and auto-bidding are available right away, and you pay only if you win the auction within ±2 bid increments or ±5% of the calculation
Freecalculation for all other lots in our registry, no registration required

How it works

You paste a link to the lot on torgi.gov.ru, and the platform automatically retrieves the notice, property category, region, starting price and bid increment.
We select comparable completed auctions from our database: the same property category, the same auction format, a similar price range and, where possible, the same region.
For this sample, we calculate the median and the upper bound of the sale price range and round both figures to your lot’s bid increment.
The report gives you two bids: a value bid, the price at which the purchase still makes sense, and a bid to win, the ceiling worth going up to, with a tolerance of ±2 bid increments or ±5%. For each bid, we show the share of comparable auctions that this price would have won.
Once payment is confirmed, you receive a PDF with both bids and guidance on choosing between them for your auction format, sample statistics, the share of lots sold at the starting price, the platform fee and the winner’s total budget.

Where the data comes from

We use a single source: GIS Torgi (torgi.gov.ru), the official Russian portal for publishing public auctions. Every day we load completed procedures and keep them in a separate analytics database: starting and final price, auction format, property category, region and closing date. The calculation currently covers privatization (178-FZ): 24,668 lots; seized property (229-FZ): 7,840 lots; confiscated property (1041-PP): 3,141 lots. Unreliable records, such as one-ruble lots, program transfers and anomalous price ratios, are excluded from the calculation, and ascending auctions and descending-price sales are analyzed separately.

The text of the report is written with the help of the GigaChat AI based on the same computed facts: the model explains the calculation and the risks, but it is never the source of the figures.

Analytics and winning bid calculations are currently available for lots in the “Privatization of state and municipal property” (178-FZ, 1041-PP) and “Sale of seized property” (229-FZ) sections in the Central Federal District.

What’s in the report

Two bids in rubles, a value bid and a bid to win, each with its probability based on the sample and guidance on choosing between them for your auction format; a tolerance of ±2 bid increments or ±5%; the median ratio of the sale price to the starting price across comparable auctions; the share of lots sold at the starting price; the sample size and selection rule, with examples of the procedures included; the platform fee and the winner’s total budget. The PDF report is sent to the email address you provide once payment is confirmed. If you haven’t provided an email, we will contact you via the messenger you specified.

Frequently asked questions

How much does the report cost?

3.5% of the lot's starting price, minimum RUB 990, maximum RUB 16,990, including 22% VAT, payable before the report is generated. For a lot with a starting price of RUB 20,000, the report costs RUB 990 (3.5% would be RUB 700, which is below the minimum); for RUB 100,000 it costs RUB 3,500, and for RUB 1,000,000 it costs RUB 16,990 (3.5% would be RUB 35,000, which exceeds the maximum).

What about lots listed on your platform?

For registry lots outside the “State property” section, the winning bid calculation is currently free and public: both bids are shown right on the lot page and via a button in the registry, with no registration or payment. For state property listed on our platform, registered participants also receive the calculation immediately. The fee (5% of the starting price, minimum RUB 14,990, maximum RUB 199,900, incl. 22% VAT; capped at 7.5% of the final price, but never below RUB 14,990 or above RUB 199,900) is charged only if you win the auction within ±2 bid increments or ±5% of the calculation. If another bidder wins, the final price falls outside that range, or the auction is cancelled or fails, the calculation is free. Reports paid for in advance apply only to third-party lots on torgi.gov.ru.

Do I need to register?

No. Just provide your full name and a contact, either an email address or a messenger. Registered users have their orders and reports saved in their account.

What if the lot is outside the Central Federal District?

We don’t accept such orders: we don’t cover other federal districts yet, and mixing regions in a single calculation would make it unreliable.

Does the calculation guarantee a win?

No. The report shows the most likely winning bid based on statistics from comparable completed auctions; the outcome depends on the number of participants in the particular procedure.

Why does the report give two bids rather than one?

Because goals differ: sometimes buying cheaper matters more, sometimes not missing the lot. The value bid is the sample median, and the bid to win is the upper quartile. In an auction with bid increments, the first figure is where to start bidding and the second is how far to go. In sealed-bid formats and requests for quotations, the price is submitted only once, so the second figure matters more.

Sections we cover

🦅 State property at auction 🏢 Real estate at auction 🚜 Heavy equipment and commercial vehicles at auction 🚗 Passenger cars at auction ⚖️ Debtors' pledged property at auction 🏚️ Pledged real estate at auction 🚙 Pledged cars at auction 🏗️ Pledged heavy equipment at auction 📄 Order a report via a lot link

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